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Showing results for tags 'conjecture'.
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Let me explain why: First of all, Russia. Their laws have already blocked the Su-27 and the BS3 from being made and I don't see any reason why the MiG-29 would be allowed to be made in the first place. Yes, it's older and it's basically MiG-23 tech, but it's still a MiG-29 and surely has stuff that Russia keeps using nowadays and they wouldn't want to have it being seen publically. Even if the laws don't kill the project, it'll be Russia's own complex what will kill it. If the MiG-29 is made in full fidelity, it'll be seen that it was just an overhyped plane during the Cold War, and that there really isn't much to it that could make it a good plane. This is something the West has seen since the 90s with the tens of MiG-29s shot down by US aircraft, but now it'd be clear to literally everyone and the "But it's FC3!" excuse wouldn't be applicable anymore. To save themselves the embarrasment, Russia will probably block the release of the MiG-29 even if by law it could be made. We also have no reason to think the laws won't become more strict in the future. Secondly, the Apache. Yes I know it may seem unrelated, but if ED's roadmap for this year is to be believed, the Mi-24 and the Apache are going to be dropping sooner rather than later. This is pretty much worst case scenario for the Mi-24, because people wanting an Attack Helicopter will by default go for the most capable, most modern, with better "bang-for-the-buck" ratio option. Which will undoubtly be the Apache and not the Hind. The Hind will be left for the enthusiasts and the collectors. You can argue the Mi-24 is a very different beast, and you're right. It is much worse in all the regards that count, seeing how its systems are primitive, its weapons not very good, and it can barely hover. All this for the "advantage" of being able to carry troops, which in reality was never made because it severely reduces your weapon carrying capacity. The truth is that the Hind is an attack helicopter, and in that field it's competing against the Apache. For the first time in DCS, ED will have 2 "direct counterparts" to compare in terms of sales and profitability. And there's simply no chance for the Hind to sell better than the Apache. In fact I'd say the Hind is going to flop massively. Most people is more attracted to the Apache because it's the definition of an attack helicopter, it's used by their home country (mostly the US) and it's a clear powerhouse that has served in many wars, saved many lives and generally has become a legend. Meanwhile the Hind is known for being shot down with an LGB by an F-15E, and I guess that's more or less it. Many were shot down in Afghanistan, while few if any Apaches have been even damaged in that same conflict. So the capabilities are definitely on the Apache's side and the popularity is on the Apache's side. These 2 combined will lead to the Apache selling way better than the Hind, and that's important. ED will see that spending time and resources making Redfor modules is simply not worth it. Why bother making a module like the Hind when you can make an Apache and have it sell 10x more? Similarly, why bother making the MiG-29 and have it sell badly when compared with the Hornet or the Viper? Why not just making an F-15C instead? In terms of systems it's more complex than the MiG-29, sure, but it's no Hornet so it should take less resources. And it's a damn F-15C so it's definitely going to sell lots. So really, why bother with the MiG-29? There's no reason aside from "PVP balance" and that reason alone is enough to *not* make it, because as per ED, the vast majority of the playerbase plays SP exclusively, so the point is moot. This is also a simulator, not a game. Balance is not something we should be aiming for, because real life is never balanced. So yeah, there's no actual reason to make the MiG-29. All the people asking for it are probably just a very vocal minority, and you can't rely on those minorities to determine what you should or shouldn't be making. The MiG-29 is just not going to happen, there's only 1 reason to make it and in the business world it holds no weight whatsoever: "we want to make it". ED is a business, profitability is their main goal and it has been confirmed by Chizh, so the MiG-29 will eventually be dropped. I succesfully predicted that the Apache would be made and it would be a Longbow, I succesfully predicted that the BS3 was going to be cancelled, and I'm sure I'll be proven right on this one too.