I have a feeling Luthier overestimated Oleg's presence in front of that fireplace. He must have thought he was going to have to wade through easy millions by the end. That is why it didn't matter that those rewards were ridiculously generous and that it would come back to haunt him. Seriously, he had to know by the end of KS he had bent backward to shoot his own butt and the first thing out the door was his passion. Now it came back to haunt ED.
My heart breaks for ED, man. Whatever they decide, they ain't getting out of this one without getting chin-checked. :(